American investors may soon be circling Manchester City, should the current ownership decide to sell amid the fallout from a significant financial case in the Premier League.
Following the ruling from an independent commission that found City guilty of serious financial breaches, speculation surrounding the club's ownership structure has intensified. However, no confirmed plans to sell the club have been announced by its current owners.
Who could be in the running?
Reuters has highlighted that bankers and prospective investors are already assessing Manchester City's financial landscape in case the principal owner needs to offload their stake. Notably, American investment firm Silver Lake, already a significant minor shareholder of City Football Group, is mentioned as a potential player.
Silver Lake acquired its stake in City Football Group back in 2019 and currently owns approximately 18% of CFG, whereas the structure associated with Sheikh Mansour retains control of around 81%.
This means that American capital is already at play within the hierarchy of Manchester City's ownership.
How much could Manchester City be worth?
The valuation of the club would be a critical issue should a sale take place.
Previously, Manchester City chairman Khaldoon Al Mubarak stated that City Football Group could be valued at no less than $10 billion, and Sheikh Mansour has consistently indicated a lack of intention to sell the business.
“There is no intention to sell. The intention is only to continue developing this.”
It is worth noting that this position was expressed before the recent financial case ruling.
However, Reuters observes that potential sanctions against City could impact future revenues and, subsequently, the club's value. Financial and sporting penalties are among the possible consequences of the case, although final disciplinary actions are yet to be determined.
Silver Lake is already part of the structure
Silver Lake is not a newcomer considering a purchase; it already owns a substantial share in City Football Group.
According to Manchester City, the club is primarily owned by Newton Investment and Development LLC, entirely under Sheikh Mansour's control, while Silver Lake claims nearly 17% stake.
Therefore, a change in ownership does not necessarily require an entirely new investor; one hypothetical scenario could involve increasing the stake of the existing American shareholder or the emergence of a new American consortium.
What could change the scenario?
The main factor will be the ongoing developments in the financial case.
Manchester City continues to assert its innocence and plans to appeal the independent commission's decision. Final sanctions have yet to be imposed.
If serious sporting or financial repercussions ensue, the club's attractiveness for investment could shift. This is why potential buyers are likely to be weighing up various scenarios ahead of time.