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Erling Haaland's future at Manchester City hinges on potential Premier League sanctions. Relegation could trigger a record transfer to Real Madrid or Barcelona.

The future of Erling Haaland could become the biggest transfer saga of the summer if Manchester City face relegation. The club's hierarchy is preparing for various scenarios as they await official sanctions for breaching financial rules.

According to The Athletic, an independent commission has found the club guilty on 114 of 115 charges, with the scale of the impending punishment set to be a crucial factor for the Norwegian striker, though any departure remains speculative at this stage.

Haaland recently signed a contract extension through to 2034, solidifying his commitment to the Etihad Stadium. However, financial penalties or points deductions could result in vastly different consequences compared to an enforced drop from the top tier.

No official confirmation exists about a clause for automatic contract termination in the event of relegation. Sources vary on the legal nuances of the agreement, making it impossible to definitively say that the striker would become a free agent, able to choose a new club without restrictions.

Real Madrid's conundrum

Real Madrid had shown interest in Haaland even before his move to Manchester. The Spanish giants are poised to re-enter negotiations if a valid opportunity arises, yet the deal faces serious hurdles due to their squad depth.

Kylian Mbappe and Jude Bellingham are tied to contracts until 2029, while Vinicius Junior has extended his deal until 2032. Attracting the Norwegian would necessitate the sale of at least one star from this illustrious trio. Despite their historical interest, the club is unlikely to rush this transfer.

Barcelona's position

Barcelona emerges as another contender. According to reports from MARCA, sporting director Deco has held multiple discussions about the forward's situation with his agent, Rafaela Pimenta.

In the wake of Robert Lewandowski's departure, signing a striker of Haaland's calibre makes perfect sporting sense. However, financing such a colossal deal poses a significant obstacle, with the Catalans struggling to manage the transfer fee and the player's hefty wage demands.

MARCA suggests a move to another Premier League club is unlikely for the striker, although he has yet to comment on this matter publicly.

Ultimately, everything hinges on the verdict from the disciplinary commission. If Manchester City secures their position in the Premier League, Haaland will continue under his existing contract. Should the team be forcibly relegated, the global football elite will be presented with a unique opportunity to chase a record-breaking transfer.